To our surprise, the US economy has not entered a recession over the past two years. This is not because a recession has been avoided altogether but because the current economic cycle has been ...

However, warning signs are mounting that suggest stocks may have come too far, too fast. For instance, the S&P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is sitting at its third-priciest reading in ...

As the U.S. economy shrinks, fears and predictions of a recession continue to grow. New Commerce Department data shows that the country's gross domestic product (GDP) contracted at an annual rate of 0 ...

Nick Gallo has been a financial content marketer and journalist for over six years. He has deep expertise in credit-related topics, including credit reports and scores, loans and credit cards, and ...

As a proponent of the Austrian School of Economics, I fundamentally oppose state intervention in economic affairs, particularly the manipulation of interest rates by central banks. Before addressing ...

In our last article, we explored the broader framework that underpins our process for tracking the Business Cycle — the EPB Four Economy Framework. (Click here to read the previous post) In that ...

Economic cycles are a fundamental aspect of the financial landscape, influencing everything from job markets to personal investments. These cycles typically consist of three phases: expansion, ...

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Political budget cycles refer to the systematic fluctuations in fiscal instruments driven by the electoral calendar. Incumbent governments frequently engage in pre‐electoral stimulus—such as ...

The economic landscape is constantly shifting, creating both opportunities and challenges for businesses. While some companies struggle during downturns, others demonstrate resilience and thrive ...