Hezbollah claimed responsibility for drone attacks on Israeli forces in southern Lebanon, threatening the fragile ceasefire. The April 26 ceasefire extension market sits at 99.8% YES, down slightly ...

Panama Canal fees have surged to $4 million due to the ongoing Hormuz blockade, while the market for Strait of Hormuz traffic ...

Witt predicts a crypto surge after the CLARITY Act, but Bitcoin reaching $80K in April trades at just 10.5% YES.

Iran’s Air Force launched sorties against US bases in Iraq, Kuwait, and Qatar. The market for Iranian regime fall by May 31 ...

Bitmine accumulates a $13.3 billion Ethereum treasury, aiming for 5% supply control. Ethereum above $1,800 on April 28 at 100 ...

Vance questions the Pentagon's war narrative, raising concerns about US weapons stockpiles. Market for no US-Iran diplomatic ...

Ukrainian drone strikes hit the Tuapse oil refinery, keeping ceasefire odds low; ceasefire by April 30 at 0% YES, by May 31 ...

White House envoy to meet Iranian officials in Islamabad. End of military operations against Iran by April 30 at 3.2% YES.

Bitcoin's April price drop is linked to leverage liquidations. Bitcoin reaching $80,000 in April at 10.5% YES.

Trump orders an extended blockade of Iran, pushing the odds for Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by April 30 down to 0 ...

Iran has opted to skip direct talks with the US in Islamabad, choosing instead to convey its position through Pakistan. The ...

Trump claims Iran requested an end to the naval blockade, hinting at diplomatic overtures. The ceasefire by April 30 market ...