Witt predicts a crypto surge after the CLARITY Act, but Bitcoin reaching $80K in April trades at just 10.5% YES.

White House envoy to meet Iranian officials in Islamabad. End of military operations against Iran by April 30 at 3.2% YES.

Bitcoin's April price drop is linked to leverage liquidations. Bitcoin reaching $80,000 in April at 10.5% YES.

Ukrainian drone strikes hit the Tuapse oil refinery, keeping ceasefire odds low; ceasefire by April 30 at 0% YES, by May 31 ...

Iran has opted to skip direct talks with the US in Islamabad, choosing instead to convey its position through Pakistan. The ...

Vance questions the Pentagon's war narrative, raising concerns about US weapons stockpiles. Market for no US-Iran diplomatic ...

Bitmine accumulates a $13.3 billion Ethereum treasury, aiming for 5% supply control. Ethereum above $1,800 on April 28 at 100 ...

Iran proposed reopening the Strait of Hormuz post-war, but the US rejected it. Ceasefire by April 30 at 2.9% YES.

Iran’s Air Force launched sorties against US bases in Iraq, Kuwait, and Qatar. The market for Iranian regime fall by May 31 ...

Wheat futures hit a 2-year high due to fertilizer supply disruptions from the Iran war. Iran agrees to surrender enriched ...

Panama Canal transit growth continues amid Middle East tensions. Odds of Iran targeting ships by April 30 rise to 87.5% YES.

Bitcoin ETF outflows hit $263 million, ending a nine-day inflow streak. Bitcoin above $86,000 by April 30 at 0.2% YES.