Trump calls for Jimmy Kimmel's firing amid FCC review of Disney licenses; Kimmel's firing by May 31 at 5.5% YES.

Trump plans an extended blockade on Iran and new sanctions. US-Iran diplomatic meeting by April 15, 2026 at 0% YES.

Kim Jong Un endorses troops' suicide to avoid capture, signaling support for Russia. Ceasefire by April 30 at 0.2% YES.

Former U.S. officials have called the extended silence over a U.S. strike on an Iranian school highly unusual. The market for the Iranian regime falling by May 31 is at 4% YES, up from 3% yesterday.

Panama Canal fees have surged to $4 million due to the ongoing Hormuz blockade, while the market for Strait of Hormuz traffic ...

Witt predicts a crypto surge after the CLARITY Act, but Bitcoin reaching $80K in April trades at just 10.5% YES.

Bitcoin's April price drop is linked to leverage liquidations. Bitcoin reaching $80,000 in April at 10.5% YES.

Ukrainian drone strikes hit the Tuapse oil refinery, keeping ceasefire odds low; ceasefire by April 30 at 0% YES, by May 31 ...

Iran’s Air Force launched sorties against US bases in Iraq, Kuwait, and Qatar. The market for Iranian regime fall by May 31 ...

Bitmine accumulates a $13.3 billion Ethereum treasury, aiming for 5% supply control. Ethereum above $1,800 on April 28 at 100 ...

Hezbollah claimed responsibility for drone attacks on Israeli forces in southern Lebanon, threatening the fragile ceasefire. The April 26 ceasefire extension market sits at 99.8% YES, down slightly ...

White House envoy to meet Iranian officials in Islamabad. End of military operations against Iran by April 30 at 3.2% YES.